Has anyone created a strategy for Sell in May using the MACD signal as outlined in traders almanac?
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There are variations on when to enter/exit based on calendar dates
Calendar date
Entry
Oct 1 or Oct15 (Stock Almanac/Sy Harding)
Exit
April1 or April 20 (Stock Almanac/Harding), May 1 also mentioned
MACD
Entry 8/17/9
Exit 12/26/9
If you are going to create a strategy, I suggest making these variables fluid ( to accommodate various permutations).
Almanac discreetly uses MACD settings proposed by Gerald Apple where as Harding described these in his Book.
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@gandalf
Since the system appears trivial, I strongly recommend you a DIY excercise using Rules. They are powerful enough. To approach it you need to drop several conditions together:
Calendar dateThis should be a pair of After and Before dates. For example, for entry you'd take After (1,10) and Before (15,10).
MACDThe choice of MACD entry rule is up to you: MACD turns up, crosses zero etc. Be careful: including a MACD condition for the
exit may delay exit for a year (or even years).
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I'm not really a programmer but I have done a little with Excel's visual basic. Thanks for the tips, I will give it a shot.
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I created the strategy exactly as shown. For Calendar dates I used : entry after 1,10 before 1,11 for sell I used after 20,4 and before 14,5. It is not clear to me why I need before and after dates, but I assume the trade will only happen if it's between those dates AND MACD is above or below zero. However the strategy does not behave as I expected. For example the last trade on QQQ was to buy on 10/29/2014. It should have sold about 5/5/15 and bought on or about 10/6/15. Can you help?
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I changed the MACD from above or below zero to turns up and turns down, it seems to work OK although I don't know why above and below zero did not work correctly.
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There may be different reasons for that, primarily:
1. Skipped trade due to insufficient capital. Choose a Raw Profit mode position size, then check out the User Guide and Wiki FAQ for more.
2. A difference in the data (I used Yahoo!).
3. Possibly insufficient data loading range.
"MACD above zero" does work correctly, producing an entry signal on 10/29/2014:
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